Sports talk
Drew Knight’s Leans and Plays 3/17/10 St Patty’s Day
Drew Knight almost 2 years ago

As I said on my spot earlier today is going to be rather light as I would rather keep at breaking down the big tourney tomorrow and use the units then as I would tonight with not such a great card in my opinion. So tonight:

Plays
Hawks/Raptors over 208 line via Bodog.com (1 unit)

So there is a few trends in this game that had me liking the over right away. First of all Toronto is an over team at home scoring 104 and giving up 105. 8 of the last 11 with the Hawks have gone over, many of them at a similar or higher number. Toronto has also gone over 8 of the last 12 at home which proves my point about being a home over team.

As of 4 oclock central I see about 60% on the over, and that has dropped. Joe Johnson has been downgraded to doubtful and that may be scaring this one down a tad as it was at 209 earlier. But listen, Atl scored 108 last night without Johnson, granted it was to the Nets, but if the starters would have played that game for the whole time they would have dropped 130. Toronto is rested and has Bosh back and will try to run even more than the Hawks will. I see the total more about 215 with each team topping 100 points. Thats enough for me to jump on board with this over. All the trends point to this as an easy over.

Other leans:
Celtics-4.5 1st half

Stay away NBA game:
My Milwaukee Bucks-6 tonight in LA vs the Clips. The line opened at 5.5 and this just could be a huge letdown game after a great post all-star run for the Bucks.

Good luck tonight!