NFL WEEK 5 TRENDS
John D (SILVER MEMBER) 3 months ago // 3 responses // Subscribe TopSportsBets.com NFL football talk

All trends are Against the Spread unless noted:

Abbreviations:
S/U = straight-up
H = home
R = road
F = favorite
D = dog
L = last (or ‘in the last’)
DD = double-digit
b2b = back-to-back
Some team names are also abbreviated.

Indianapolis is 11-1 all-time S/U vs. Houston – Houston is 6-0 L6 as H/D

Tennessee is 5-10 vs. Baltimore since ’97 – Baltimore is 4-7 L11 as H/D

San Diego is 23-10 as R/F since ’92 – Miami is 2-8 L10 as H/D

Kansas City is 7-2 L9 as R/D – Carolina is 12-21-1 as H/F since ‘03

Wash. is 8-15-3 vs. Philly since ’95 – Philadelphia is 8-12-1 as H/F since ‘05

Chicago is 5-13 S/U at Detroit since ’90 – Detroit is 53-39-1 as H/D since ‘80

Atlanta is 9-4 L13 vs. Green Bay – Green Bay is 6-1 L7 as H/F

Seattle is 6-13 on road since ’06 – NY Giants are 3-8 L11 as H/F

Tampa Bay is 16-26 on the road since ’03 – Denver is 2-11 L13 as H/F

New England is 21-8 as R/F since ’03 – San Fran. is 14-19-1 home since ‘04

Buffalo is 19-26-2 as R/F since ’91 – Arizona is 10-5 L15 at home

Cincinnati is 8-3 L11 as DD dog – Dallas is 5-8 L13 as H/F

Pittsburgh is 3-10 L13 vs. Jacksonville – Jacksonville is 9-6 as H/F since ‘06

Minnesota is 18-24 on road since ’03 – New Orleans is 30-48 at home since ‘03

Responses

John D

INDIANAPOLIS (1 – 2) at HOUSTON (0 – 3) – 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
HOUSTON is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TENNESSEE (4 – 0) at BALTIMORE (2 – 1) – 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


SAN DIEGO (2 – 2) at MIAMI (1 – 2) – 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


KANSAS CITY (1 – 3) at CAROLI)NA (3 – 1) – 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
CAROLINA is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


WASHINGTON (3 – 1) at PHILADELPHIA (2 – 2) – 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 120-85 ATS (+26.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


CHICAGO (2 – 2) at DETROIT (0 – 3) – 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


ATLANTA (2 – 2) at GREEN BAY (2 – 2) – 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


SEATTLE (1 – 2) at NY GIANTS (3 – 0) – 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 17-42 ATS (-29.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
SEATTLE is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TAMPA BAY (3 – 1) at DENVER (3 – 1) – 10/5/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
DENVER is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


NEW ENGLAND (2 – 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 – 2) – 10/5/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


BUFFALO (4 – 0) at ARIZONA (2 – 2) – 10/5/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
BUFFALO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


CINCINNATI (0 – 4) at DALLAS (3 – 1) – 10/5/2008, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


PITTSBURGH (3 – 1) at JACKSONVILLE (2 – 2) – 10/5/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MINNESOTA (1 – 3) at NEW ORLEANS (2 – 2) – 10/6/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-77 ATS (-32.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-77 ATS (-32.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
John D

NFL Week 5

Sunday, October 5th

Indianapolis at Houston, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 21-6 Over Away off SU loss as favorite
Houston: 8-0 Over vs. division

Tennessee at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 12-3 ATS Away off DD home win
Baltimore: 2-9 ATS off SU loss

San Diego at Miami, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 13-4 ATS as favorite
Miami: 11-28 ATS off SU win as underdog

Kansas City at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 12-26 ATS Away off division win
Carolina: 8-0 Under at home off DD home win

Washington at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
Washington: 28-12 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Philadelphia: 12-3 Under as home favorite

Chicago at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 18-6 Over as favorite
Detroit: 8-18 ATS vs. conference

Atlanta at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 4-0 ATS off Away division loss
Green Bay: 9-2 Over off SU loss

Seattle at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 0-6 ATS Away off win by 14+ points
NY Giants: 16-7 ATS L23 games

Tampa Bay at Denver, 4:05 ET
Tampa Bay: 41-22 Under off BB wins
Denver: 0-11 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play

New England at San Francisco, 4:15 ET
New England: 9-0 ATS in October
San Francisco: 5-10 ATS in road game

Buffalo at Arizona, 4:15 ET
Buffalo: 17-4 ATS vs. NFC West
Arizona: 17-6 Over on turf

Cincinnati at Dallas, 4:15 ET
Cincinnati: 7-2 Under off SU loss as favorite
Dallas: 3-10 ATS off SU loss as DD favorite

Pittsburgh at Jacksonville, 8:15 ET NBC
Pittsburgh: 0-7 ATS Away off SU win
Jacksonville: 9-1 ATS at home vs. Pittsburgh

Monday, October 6th

Minnesota at New Orleans, 8:30 ET ESPN
Minnesota: 42-19 Over Away off ATS loss
New Orleans: 8-1 Over off home win

 
John D

Sunday, October 4

ATLANTA vs. GREEN BAY
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Green Bay is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Chicago is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games

INDIANAPOLIS vs. HOUSTON
Indianapolis is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis’s last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

KANSAS CITY vs. CAROLINA
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
Carolina is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home

SAN DIEGO vs. MIAMI
San Diego is 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 games
San Diego is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Diego

SEATTLE vs. NY GIANTS
Seattle is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing NY Giants
NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
NY Giants are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games at home

TENNESSEE vs. BALTIMORE
Tennessee is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
Tennessee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games

WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington

TAMPA BAY vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay’s last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Denver is 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

BUFFALO vs. ARIZONA
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

CINCINNATI vs. DALLAS
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Dallas is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

NEW ENGLAND vs. SAN FRANCISCO
New England is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
San Francisco is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games

PITTSBURGH vs. JACKSONVILLE
Pittsburgh is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 8 games
Jacksonville is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Jacksonville is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Monday, October 6

MINNESOTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans’s last 9 games

 
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