Right Angle Sports
Minnesota at Bowling Green -6
With 17 returning starters (most since 8-3 team in 2001) and the benefit of extra practice time from first bowl game since 2004, the Falcons lived up to their promise with a road win at #25 Pittsburgh last week as a double digit dog. Bowling Green features a dynamic spread offense that can change tempo in a hurry and isn’t afraid to mix up formations or use trickery. QB Sheehan had great numbers last year, is now more experienced, and has every single target back from last season. The Falcon defense was a pleasant surprise in the opener. More aggressive schemes and what Insiders called the best tackling they have seen from the unit in at least five years led to a shut out of the Panthers in the second half. Bowling Green is now 6-1 ATS in their last seven regular season games but oddsmakers appear slow to catch up. The Gophers needed a score with under thirty seconds left to beat Northern Illinois in their home opener. They now go on the road where they were 0-5 last year and are just 2-9 the last two years. Minnesota’s rebuilt defense under first year coordinator Ted Roof still showed signs of last years struggles giving up 326 passing yards to a NIU freshman QB who was making his first career start. They will get a much tougher test this week and were given fits by spread offenses last year. The Gophers started two redshirt freshman on the offensive line and presently lack the needed depth at wide receiver to run a dangerous spread offense. This team is still a year away from becoming a factor in the Big 10. Bowling Green players and fans should be sky high for this game as they are coming off a road win over a ranked opponent and now will host the first Big 10 team to ever play in Perry Stadium, at night and on ESPNU no less. Give the points.
Play: Bowling Green -6 1 UNIT
FAO Sports
Take Wisconsin
Marshall is 5-12 ATS and 2-15 on the road L3Y.
Wisconsin is 12-5 ATS and 15-2 SU L3Y at home.
Greg Shaker
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Kansas Jayhawks
Play: Kansas -20
I don’t know which way this line will go, but my best educated guess is that it will go upward when it is all said and done. For now it has dropped 1/2 point. That is why I am getting on it now and there is good reason to believe that we will see a large pointspread win by the Jayhawks. I am not one to lay very many large spreads but I certainly will here. Everything went right for La Tech in their home opener with the visiting Bulldogs of Miss State as they failed miserably in that contest. Miss State threw 3 Int’s, they has numerous offensive mishaps, not caused by La Tech’s D. La Tech was outgained in this game, and they managed just 14 of 40 completions with 2 Int’s. They also ran the ball for only about 3 yards per rush. Those same numbers are not going to get them anywhere as they travel to Lawrence Kansas to play a Jayhawk team that was 8th overall in the country on offense production and 12th overall on D last year. This team has 15 starters returning, including very talented QB Todd Reesing. They were an amazing 11-1 verses the spread last year, making them a bettor’s dream. With almost the entire D back, I can’t see the visiting Bulldogs having much success moving the ball and putting points on the board. I can see Kansas gathering up 40+ points. I think that we will see that. There is great optimism in Ruston Louisiana about the their team. Even former Bulldog Terry Bradshaw is pumped about their chances this year. But, they are coming off one of their largest wins ever, and they are traveling to a venue that could spell disaster. The Jayhawks punished the poor squads last year at home. Baylor caught a 58-10 whooping. Nebraska got blown clean out of the stadium 76-39. Iowa State lost 45-7. Fla Int lost 55-3. Toledo, Southeastern La, and Central Michigan lost by combined scores of 159-20. BINGO!! Let’s enjoy this rout.
Jimmy Boyd
Tulsa vs. North Texas
Play: Tulsa -21.5
Tulsa helped us cash ticket in week 1 beating the UAB Blazers 45-22 as our NCAAF Blowout of the Week. We’re on Golden Hurricane once again this week against a N. Texas team which was trounced by a K-State program expected to finish near the bottom of the Big 12 North. N. Texas is 1-11 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992 and 2-15 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers since 1992. The Mean Green are also 1-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games in September while the Golden Hurricane are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the S-Belt and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Tulsa’s prolific offense will continue to put up big numbers this week.
Doc’s Sports
Stanford vs. Arizona State
Play: Stanford +14
The Cardinal are coming off an impressive victory against Oregon State in the Bay Area and now will head south to take on the Devils in Tempe, AZ. Arizona State dominated this game last year winning, 41-3, and you can be sure Coach Harbaugh will not let his team forget about that. But this is not the same Sun Devils team as in 2006, as they have to replace most of their offensive line and struggle in the opener to put away Northern Arizona. Sun Devils Stadium is one of the worst field in the conference for an advantage, as mostly the crowd is laid back and there is always a bunch of empty seats. ASU wins this game, but it will be much closer then what the experts think. Doc’s Sports has a strong card going this week in college and pro football and wants you aboard for the winning ride.
LT Profits
Miami Ohio @ Michigan Over 40.5
Michigan ran into a buzz-saw in the Utah Utes last week, but unlike last year when they started the season 2-0, we look for them to score with relative ease vs. a shaky Miami-Ohio defense this week, and that should be enough to push this game Over.
Defense has been a problem for Miami for several seasons now, and this year appears to be no exception based on their opening week performance, a 34-13 home loss to Vanderbilt. The RedHawks were just atrocious vs. the run, allowing a whopping 269 rushing yards on 5.4 yards per carry.
Miami did have a few offensive highlights though, as quarterback Daniel Raudabaugh passed for 244 yards. Sure, a lot of that came after the game was already decided, but we have no problem with a repeat of that in garbage time here too, as it would only help the Over.
The Wolverines should appreciate this drop in class after playing Utah, so this may be the week that the new offense brought in by Rich Rodriguez starts to shine. On the other side of the ball, the defense has some issues, especially a secondary that allowed 305 passing yards to the Utes. This should leave the backdoor open to Raudabaugh should Michigan build up a big lead.
That is the very reason why we would be reluctant to lay the big points here, but we do expect this contest to go Over rather safely.
Pick: Miami-Ohio, Michigan Over 40.5
New Mexico +2.5
The Texas A&M Aggies were shocked at home by Arkansas State last week, and we look for them to suffer their second consecutive upset at the hand of the New Mexico Lobos this Saturday.
Now the Lobos also lost at home in their opener 26-3 to TCU, but keep in mind that starting quarterback Donovan Porterie was knocked out early with a neck injury in that contest. He is listed as probable for this week and that should make all the difference here. The defense did not play as bad as the final score would indicate, as New Mexico allowed just 120 passing yards.
As for the Aggies, sure they literally fumbled the game away last week with four turnovers in the second half, but they did not exactly apply much defense pressure the entire game either. In fact, beside two sacks, they only had one other tackle for a loss the entire game. Porterie is quite capable of picking the Aggies apart of he has that much time to throw.
Look for him to do just that in a Lobos victory.
Pick: New Mexico +2.5
Mike Anthony
Texas Tech vs. Nevada
Play:Texas Tech -10.5
Texas Tech has a solid veteran cast in the OL to unleash the attack. Texas TEch should be able to score at will. Nevada has a new defensive coordinator and a lot of new faces in he huddle on that side of the ball, do they have the speed or tactics to make many stops? I doubt it. Texas Tech by 24
Sportsbettingstats
West Virginia at East Carolina
The Mountaineers come into this game after beating the Villanova Wildcats 48-21, while the Pirates pulled off a big upset beating, then, #17 Virginia Tech 27-22. Can the Pirates pull off another huge upset this week? Last week they beat a solid Virginia Tech team away and now host an even better team in West Virginia. QB Patrick Pinkney, who in the VT upset was 19/23 for 211 yds and 1 TD, leads the Pirates. The Pirate rushing attack is led by the duo of Brandon Simmons and Jonathan Williams, who combined for 102 yards in the win over the Hokies. Pinkney’s main targets are WR’s Dwayne Harris and Davon Drew, who combined for 9 rec and 133 yards last week. QB Pat White, who was stellar last week going 25/33 for 208 yds with 5 TD and 1 INT in the win over Villanova, leads the Mountaineers. White also led in rushing yards with 63 yards and RB Noel Devine, who had 47 yards last week, will help him. White’s main targets are WR’s Alric Arnett and Jock Sanders, who last week combined for 12 rec 132 yds and 4 TD’s last week.
Staff Pick: The Pirates have a tough task to try to contain White and the powerful offense of the Mountaineers. In their win last week White passed Marc Bulger as the career leader in total offense at WV, as White now has 7,984. Even though the WV offense is lethal their D was not great in giving up 21 points to a lowly Villanova team. The Mountaineers cannot take the Pirates lightly, as the Pirates are on a high after winning the Hawaii Bowl to end the 2007 season and beating a top 20 team in their first game of the 2008 season. The Pirates will look to stop the run and it may open up the passing game for White and company. The Pirates will have to deal with a D that will blitz early and often and it is up to their running game and O line to step up and give Pinkney some time, as that is their only chance to win. If this game becomes a shootout the Pirates have no chance with the many offensive weapons that the Mountaineers have. If the Pirate D cannot stop the run or get to White it will be a long day in East Carolina. Look for WV to play a better defensive game and for them to beat the Pirates and cover the spread.
Mountaineers 41 Pirates 23
Vegas Sports Informer
Take Ohio (+34) over Ohio State
Ohio is 4-0 ATS against non-conference teams and 5-2 ATS when playing a team with a winning record. Ohio State is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win of more than 20 points
Dustin Hawkins
West Virginia vs. East Carolina
Play: Over 50
West Virginia heads to East Carolina to take on David as the upset Virginia Tech last Saturday!! The Mountaineers are coming off 48-21 win over Villanova in which Pat White threw for 5 touchdowns and was 25 of 33!!! The rumor before the season was that he had developed into a pocket passer and wasn’t going to run as much. West Virginia did not run that much on Saturday, but expect that to change this weekend. With this game going to be tougher, look for him to pull it down and run to take over the game. On the other side of the ball is the ECU Pirates who played about as well as they can and beat an average VTech team. This Pirate team will have a little easier time scoring on WVU and should help push this score over the total. Can West Virgina stop David from pulling two upsets back to back? We will find out as we cheer for both teams to score!!!
Pick : Over 50
Bettorsworld
2* East Carolina +8 over West Virginia
Truthfully folks, we intended on staying away from this one. We had zeroed in on East Carolina for week one well in advance when we released them as a Key Release 10 days before the game. But now, the cat is out of the bag. They won’t be sneaking up on West Virginia. You can be sure they will have the Mountaineers full attention.
For East Carolina, once they get past this game, the schedule lightens up. Every single game the rest of the way is a winnable one. So even a loss here really isn’t a backbreaker. It looks as if East Carolina has a great chance to have a special year regardless of whether or not they can handle West Virginia. But if they do get by WVA, look out.
But it won’t be easy. Sure, they pulled off a great upset last week as you know, that certainly didn’t surprise us. Virginia Tech lost key personnel this year and figured to be in trouble. The Tech offense can’t compare to West Virginia’s. Where you’d have to be concerned with East Caroline is on the defensive side of the ball. This is a team that is largely intact from a year ago. A look back to last year shows this team giving up some big time points to quite a few teams, many not too good. They gave up 31 to North Carolina, 28 to Southern Miss, 35 to Houston and 38 to UCF. They gave up 30+ points 7 times last year and who did they give the most up to??? Right, West Virginia who hammered them 48-7.
So, all the credit in the world to Skip Holtz and company for winning some close games last year in some shootouts with conference USA opponents. But are they ready to take out West Virginia? Has the defense that averaged giving up 30 points per game last year improved that much? Will there be a let down after last weeks upset? Remember, this West Virginia offense is also largely intact from a year ago.
The motivational edges should be there for EC. Last weeks game was at a neutral site. Now they get to come home to a crowd where there’s actually some excitement and high expectations for a change. Winning breeds confidence. They get a crack at a team that has dominated them over the years going 17-2 straight up but it wasn’t always easy. In Holtz’ first year they went into Morgantown and almost pulled the upset losing 20-15 and holding WVA to just 127 yards on the ground. In 2006 it was a 27-10 loss (17-7 after 3 quarters). So they know they can compete. As we’ve seen over the last few years with teams like Rutgers, Wake Forest and Kentucky, when these types of programs, teams not used to winning consistently, get a crack at the big time, they have to take advantage. The opportunities before them may not come around again any time soon. To a man, East Carolina realizes this.
While the defense may be cause for some concern, the offense certainly gives us hope. They had no trouble finding the end zone last year averaging 31 points per game and the West Virginia defense has plenty of new faces this year.
Special seasons for programs like East Carolina don’t come often. They’ve come close to WVA before but this is the year they have to break the door down if it’s ever going to happen. They’ll have a rabid crowd on hand for a game that will be the biggest some of these kids will ever play in. The game opened up at WVA-9 at Pinnacle and -8 at Bookmaker and sharp action came in on the Pirates at both books after a few initial early hits on WVA.
We love backing teams on a huge emotional roll. The emotion can oftentimes make a team better than it really is. If EC pulls the upset, it certainly would not be a shocker. Many actually expect it. We’ll make a small play here on the Pirates + 8.
2* Georgia Tech +7 over Boston College
This game certainly has some intrigue and figures to answer some questions about both of these squads. To illustrate just how badly Matt Ryan will be missed at BC, just take a look at last weeks performance at Kent State. It was a dink and dunk, safe passing game for BC and QB Chris Crane for a grand total of 106 yards. Now that was Kent State, a 3-9 team a year ago that gave up on average 228 passing yards per game. It shows the confidence, or lack of, in their passing game if you’re not willing to open it up a little against Kent State. All of BC’S damage was done on the ground last week rushing 47 times and averaging 5 yards per rush.
Matt Ryan carried this team last year. They benefited from an easy early schedule and pulled some rabbits out of the hat to win a couple of games. They were good last year. They weren’t great. 11-3 could have easily been 8-6. Take away Matt Ryan and it would have been 8-6. Take away half of their offensive starters and more than half of their defensive guys from a year ago and you have the 2008 version of the Boston College Eagles.
Georgia Tech certainly isn’t the cream of the crop either. Paul Johnson (Navy) takes over the coaching duties and brings with him the Triple Option offense which gives defensive coordinators fits. Here’s a direct quote from Jacksonville St head coach Jack Crowe – “There’s just too many issues with this offense for people to deal with,â€? Crowe said. “We had two and a half weeks to deal with it. The rest of these folks will get two days. Good luck, ACC.â€?
Now, of course, that’s Jacksonville State. Not sure what we can learn from that 41-14 drubbing other than Tech got some much needed real game experience out of the deal as reports were that in their spring game and a couple of scrimmages, they were turning the ball over like crazy.
But, do that math. Two teams that are literally half of what they used to be, BC without it’s superstar QB and Tech with a new offensive scheme, both looking to rely heavily on the run. That keeps the clock moving, shortens the game and likely makes it close heading into the stretch where is exactly where you want to be if you’re taking +7. Ok, you’d rather be up by 3 touchdowns. But we’ll take close in the 4th quarter with a chance to win. This one may even be exciting! Georgia Tech +7
2* Auburn -17 over Southern Miss
Two squads with new offensive schemes here and we have to give the nod to Auburn simply due to it’s defense. The Auburn stop unit was actually down a notch last year yet still only gave up 10, 3, 3 and 7 in it’s last 4 home games last year. Prior to last season Auburn defenses put up yards per point numbers in the 20’s for three straight years which is superb. Last years ypp number was 18, still good, but giving up 45 to Georgia and 30 to LSU didn’t help. New defensive coordinator but same Auburn defense.
We’re talking SEC talent vs. Conference USA talent here folks. No comparison. Just take a glance back to last season when So Miss took a trip to Tennessee to take on the Vols. End result? A 39-19 loss in which So Miss gave up 469 total yards as the Vols got it done over land and air. Auburn moves to a spread attack this year on offense but a look at last weeks results shows us that there will be a big difference between an Auburn spread and say, a West Virginia spread. The running game still dominates.
The running game figures to be key here. Both squads played weak opponents last week. However, it was Auburn piling up 321 yards on the ground while only giving up 84 while Southern Miss piled it up on the ground but gave up 394 yards of total offense with 263 of those yards coming on the ground. Even in this day and age of potent west coast offenses and complicated offensive schemes football is still about running the football. Auburn figures to be able to do that with ease this week while it’s doubtful Southern Miss will have any success at all on the ground.
Let’s put it in perspective another way. Southern Miss had the top defense in Conference USA last year. A “top” defense that gave up 30 to UTEP, 29 to Memphis, 34 to UCF, 31 to Rice…...it goes on, but you get the picture. Granted not all points scored are as a result of the offense but it still illustrates the difference between the two conferences and this is a defense that only returns 4 starters. Utep, Memphis and Rice surely don’t compare to LSU, Georgia and Florida….Night and Day.
If Auburn can get their new offense humming as the season goes on, they could be a damn scary team. In the meantime, they should have no trouble moving the ball this week and finding the end zone a few times. The offense will only get better each week, while the defense should be able to contain anything Southern Miss throws at them. It’s not like they haven’t seen it all before. Heck, they held Florida to 17 points a year ago and that game was in the swamp!
The number is reasonable enough. At -17, the Tigers may not need to find the end zone that many times to cover this one, providing the defense holds as expected. This weeks card in general is a very weak one for us. So, we’ll leave this game as a small 2* play.
Brian Gabrielle
FL Hurricanes vs Florida Gators
The Florida Gators were sensational in their first game of the season. By whipping the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 56 to 10, the Gators signaled to college football betting fans that they are definitely a team to key football bets around this season.
The Gators offense was spectacular as usual, racking up four touchdowns in both the second and third quarters, but it was their defense that looked absolutely awesome. The Gators held the Rainbows to 10 points and all 10 points were scored in the fourth quarter when the Gators had the game well in hand.
Florida will look to continue their dominance this weekend when they face the in state rival Miami Hurricanes. The Hurricanes look to be much improved from last year with athleticism on both sides of the ball. Football betting fans wonder whether or not the Hurricanes have improved enough to handle a team like Florida.
It’s too early to talk trends in this game. So, we’re going to have to just consider the notion that both teams will play to the best of their ability. With that being written, are the Florida Gators really more than three touchdowns better than the Miami Hurricanes?
They could very well be. This Florida Gator team is loaded in every position. So much so that they racked up 56 points against Hawaii without Percy Harvin, their best wide receiver, linebacker Brandon Spikes and guard Jim Tartt. With those three returning to the line-up, what chance do the Hurricanes actually have of beating the Florida Gators in this game?
Oh, yeah, the Hurricanes don’t have to actually beat the Gators. They just have to lose by no more than 21 points. The Hurricanes have improved enough for me to believe that beating the BetUS online sportsbook spread of 21½ is absolutely doable. They are adept at playing a much faster game with quarterback James Harris running the spread offense with abandon. He racked up over 70 yards rushing and 190 yards passing. Tim Tebow, Harris is not, but he won’t have to be for NCAAF betting fans to win this wager.
I’ll be making an online bet on the Miami Hurricanes to beat the BetUS online football betting spread of 21½ points in this Saturday game.
One thing to note is that Hurricane Hannah, yes, it’s a real storm and not a crazy woman who keep bothering Florida recruits, is on its way to the state of Florida. We’ll have to wait and see how it impacts the start of this game.
Take Miami + 21 ½
Matt Fargo
Minnesota @ Bowling Green
PICK: Minnesota +5.5
Bowling Green is coming off a monster upset at Pittsburgh and this is not a very good spot for the Falcons. They trailed 14-0 early but came back thanks to the Panthers basically giving it away. Pittsburgh actually outgained Bowling Green 393-254 but four turnovers did the Panthers in. It was the first win over a top 25 team since 2003 so if ever there is a chance for a letdown, this is it.
Minnesota is coming off a home win over Northern Illinois to start the season. It was a much closer game than expected and it took a touchdown with just 22 seconds remaining for the Gopher to avoid yet another opening game upset from a MAC opponent. Last season, it was Bowling Green who defeated the Gophers in overtime to start they ear so Minnesota is playing with some revenge.
The Gophers put up 425 yards of total offense and that will be the strength again this year. Minnesota has nine returning starters on offense, including quarterback Adam Weber, who led the offense in rushing and passing last year. It finished 48th in total offense which was outstanding considering it was the first year the new offense was in place. The Gophers scored 31 or more points six times so they are right on pace with that again after matching that against the Huskies.
The Falcons defense played well against the Panthers but they could be in for some trouble here. Minnesota put up 434 yards in last season’s meeting including 246 yards on the ground. The rushing defense allowed a whopping 207.9 ypg last season and while it did a good job against Pittsburgh on Saturday, this spread attack will be much tougher to defend. Bowling Green finished 93rd overall and 94th in scoring defense a season ago.
This line is the first thing that jumps out. Bowling Green did take out a team from the Big East but now being favored by a decent amount over a Big Ten team is simply too aggressive. The MAC has provided many upsets over the years but the question is can Bowling Green do it two weeks in a row? I say there is no chance but we get enough points to cover a close game if it comes down to it. Look for the Gophers outright. Play Minnesota Golden Gophers 1.5 Units
Steve Janus
Cincinnati U vs. Oklahoma
Play: Oklahoma -21
Saturday’s game between Oklahoma and Cincinnati is one of the better match ups on the board, though you might not know it with top sportsbooks setting the spread for the game at Oklahoma -21. Both teams dominated in their season opener against weaker teams, of course, but confidence will be riding high for the Sooners as well as the Bearcats.
Cincinnati’s starting QB, Dustin Grutza got off to a blazing start in week one, scoring 4 touchdowns (3 passing, 1 rushing) and racking up 296 yards passing, good enough for Big East Player of the Week honors. Grutza and the rest of the Bearcat offense will have their hands full this week against a very good Oklahoma defense, but if the QB can stay consistent and the offensive line can give him time to throw, they can put up a fight in Oklahoma Saturday. Don’t expect 550+ yards of total offense from this squad again this week, but with the talent they put on the field you shouldn’t expect them to be totally absent either.
The Bearcat defense also impressed against Eastern Kentucky in week one. They only allowed one touchdown in a 40-7 rout of the Colonels. Playing from behind all game allowed Eastern Kentucky to rack up over 100 yards through the air (still not a very impressive feat), but the Cincy rush defense allowed just 48 yards on the ground, a solid number against any level of competition.
The Oklahoma Sooners were predictably dominant in the season opener against Chattanooga last week. OU dominated the first half of the game, going up 50-0 by halftime, before mercifully easing up in the second half, eventually winning 57-2. The running and passing games were both hitting on all cylinders against an out-matched defense which allowed Oklahoma to rack up 487 yards by the final whistle.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Sooners were even more impressive than Cincinnati was against Eastern Kentucky. This unit allowed a total of 16 rushing yards and 20 passing yards, allowing a total of only 36 yards of total offense. The defensive line is one of the best in the nation and will certainly be causing fits in the backfield for the Cincinnati offense all game long.
The 21 point spread for this game is a little bit surprising considering that this is a big jump in competition for the Sooners, at least at first glance. But, looking up and down the field at these teams you start to realize just how much better of a team that Oklahoma is. The Sooners are one of the elite teams in college football. Do not be surprised to see them in the BCS Championship this season. On both sides of the ball they are head-and-shoulders above the Bearcats. Three touchdowns might seem like a lot, but don’t think for a minute that Bob Stoops’s crew is going to let up against a more nationally-known opponent.
Prediction: Oklahoma 44, Cincinnati 16
Larry Ness
Florida -22.5 vs Miami
Amazingly, the Gators have lost their last six meetings with the Hurricanes, although this is the first meeting between these two rivals since the ‘04 Peach Bowl (Miami won, 27-10). That’s worth pointing out because from ‘05-’07, while the Gators have gone 31-8 (including winning a national championship in ‘06), the ‘Canes are just 21-16 (12-24 ATS!) during that span, including a 5-7 mark last year. Florida ‘warmed up’ for its meeting with Miami by trouncing overmatched Hawaii last Saturday in “The Swamp,” beating the Rainbows 56-10. Tebow was asked to do very little but the Florida defense was in mid-season form, holding the Rainbows without a TD until the game’s final two minutes. Florida’s 2ndy returned two INTs for TDs, plus James threw in a 74-yard punt return TD as well. Miami opened last Saturday with a 52-7 home win over Charleston Southern, christening its new home (Dolphin Stadium), after spending seven decades in the Orange Bowl. True freshman QB Jacory Harris accounted for two touchdowns. Harris started only because first-string QB Robert Marve (a red-shirt freshman) was serving a one-game suspension for disciplinary reasons. Marve is expected to start here and ironically will square-off against Heisman-winner Tim Tebow. A “side story” to this game is the fact that Marve broke Tebow’s state high school records for yards and TDs. Expect Tebow to bring his “A-game” for this contest against a Miami defenses adapting to its third DC in the last three years. The Hawaii ‘cover’ makes Florida 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games (since the beginning of LY) and Miami, with just eight returning starters, is just 3-7 ATS on the road the last two years, including blowout losses at Oklahoma (51-13) and Virginia Tech (44-14) last season. Lay the points with the Gators.
Ted Sevransky
Texas Tech @ Nevada
PICK: Over 67
Week 1 is always the lowest scoring week of the college football season, with offenses needing a bit of work against ‘real’ defenses before they can get in to any kind of a rhythm. Historically, the biggest increase from scoring from week to week occurs between the first and second week of the season. For example, in 2007, scoring increased by more than eight points per game from Week 1 to Week 2, while Overs cashed at a 67% clip. There’s no shame in looking for solid Over’s to bet this week.
Texas Tech put up 639 yards of offense in their opener last week, scoring 49 points, yet we’re getting quotes like these from the Red Raiders. Head coach Mike Leach: “We are a spotty team. I don’t think that we played what I consider well more than three series in a row on either side of the ball.â€? Third year quarterback starter Graham Harrell: “That was a pretty sloppy game and offensively we were pretty sloppy. We’ve got a long ways to go and a lot of room to get better.â€? I expect a focused, well executed performance from an offense that scored 41 points per game last year, facing a slower, undersized Nevada defense that struggles to stop high octane attacks.
But don’t sell the Wolfpack’s offense short either. Head coach Chris Ault has found the perfect quarterback to run his pistol offense in sophomore Colin Kaepernick, the WAC Freshman of the Year last season. Eight starters return from an offense that scored 33 points per game last year; six points higher than that at home. Expect a wild shootout in Reno on Saturday Night, sending this game flying Over the total.Take the Over.
Sports Insights
BYU vs Washington
BYU has come into this season shooting to become last season’s Hawaii, the team from a non-BCS conference to receive a BCS bowl bid. The Cougars have a history of high-powered offenses, and it looks no different this season. The public LOVES offense, and they tend to follow that when they bet. High-scoring offenses also tend to turn the ball over, as the Cougars did last week by coughing up five fumbles. BYU had a good defense last season, but lost eight starters from that unit. There’s still a question how the new starters will perform after allowing some big plays last week against Northern Iowa.
Washington is coming off a road loss to No. 18 Oregon, and the Huskies’ Tyrone Willingham is on the hot seat in his fourth season. Willingham does have a special talent in QB Jake Locker, who passed for 2,062 yards and ran for another 986 in 2007. The Huskies defense has experience and a new coordinator in Ed Donatell, who spent 13 seasons as a coordinator in the NFL.
The Cougars are receiving 60% of wagers at Sports Insights’ contributing sportsbooks, but the line has moved in the opposite direction you would expect. BYU opened at Pinnacle as 10-point favorites, but are currently at -8.5. A 1.5 point move against that percentage shows me that the Sharps are backing Washington. I’m going to follow the Smart Money, especially since there are still some places offering Washington +9.5 (Sports Interaction).
Washington +9.5
Texas A&M vs New Mexico
Texas A&M opened the Mike Sherman era with a home loss to Arkansas State, not a good way to endear yourself to the Aggies’ 12th Man. Sherman is switching to a pro-style offense at A&M, but it doesn’t look like he has the right fit of players for that system. Senior QB Stephen McGee is more of a dual-threat player, as he was the Big 12’s top rushing quarterback last season with 899 yards. Sherman also moved bruising RB Jorvorskie Lane to fullback, and made Mike Goodson the featured back. The Aggies didn’t have a strong defense last season, and lost their top-2 defensive players heading into 2008.
New Mexico won its first bowl game since 1961 last season with a 23-0 defeat of Nevada in the New Mexico Bowl. The Lobos return key talent on offense including two-time first-team all-conference running back Rodney Ferguson. He is joined in the backfield by fellow RB Paul Baker (over 200 yards total offense in New Mexico Bowl). New Mexico also returns a strong secondary from last season, which could give fits to A&M’s McGee.
The Aggies are receiving 76% of the betting public’s support playing on the road, but they have moved from -3 favorites at Pinnacle to -2.5. Yet again, I’m following the Sharps and taking the home dog. Much like last week’s Michigan game, beware of a coach implementing a new system without the right players in place to run it.
New Mexico +2.5
Mississippi vs Wake Forest
Wake Forest went on the road and crushed Big 12 cellar dweller Baylor 41-13 in week 1. Junior Riley Skinner begins his third season as the Demon Deacons starting QB. Skinner was the most accurate passer in the NCAA last season with a 72-percent completion rate, but Wake lost four starters along its offensive line. The Deacs also return the bulk of a talented defense.
In Houston Nutt’s debut Mississippi started out the year with a big win against Memphis. It seems Nutt has found a decent option in Junior WR Dexter McCluster to play the Darren McFadden position of his “Wildcat” offense that he brought over from Arkansas. Texas transfer QB Jevan Snead looked good in his first action for Ole Miss, and the Rebels’ unpredictable offense can confuse even the most experienced defenses. With DT Peria Jerry and DE Greg Hardy, the Rebels also feature the SEC’s most talented defensive line duo, and a potential stud LB in Allen Walker.
The Deacs are receiving two-thirds of public wagers after receiving extra media attention for being the only ACC team to actually look good in week 1. Even with that public support, the line has moved a half-point in their favor. Could that be a sign of smart money I see? Absolutely. When two teams this talented square off, anything can happen, and we’re following the Sharps in thinking this is a close one. I’ll take Ole Miss and the points.
Mississippi +7.5
Wunderdog
Connectuct at Temple
Pick: Temple +7
Sometimes it is good to have a short memory while other times (like this one) it is good to remember the past. The Owls won five games last year, but were only credited with four. They had one stolen when a late TD was ruled out of bounds by the refs, while replays clearly showed otherwise. The Owls return all 22 starters this season, all with a fresh memory of that game. Revenge is a sweet motive! Add to that the fact that this team was told a few years ago that they were no longer wanted in the Big East. The Owls finally have the talent to make a statement about those painful memories. Connecticut was the luckiest team in the Big East last season, getting wins vs. Temple and Louisville that were aided by botched calls. They also got a weather break against South Florida and had a huge surplus in turnovers and relatively few injuries. The result? They finished tied for first in the Big last despite being outgained by nearly 100 yards per game! They looked absolutely horrible against a hapless Hofstra team last week, and won because their talent was just extreme vs the competition. They don’t enjoy that edge here, and this one is on the road where the Huskies are just 5-14 in their last 19. The Owls are motivated and pumped up here and we like them a lot to get the cover.
FairWay Jay
Penn St. +15.0
Oregon State makes the long, ‘rough’ travel to Happy Valley and the Beavers figure to be swimming up stream here. A majority of the SU and ATS victories in week 1 were by teams that dominated at the point of attack and had success in the running game. Oregon State figures to struggle against the staunch Penn State defense after managing just 86 rushing yards last week versus an inferior Stanford team. Beavers QB Lyle Moevao will be pressured throughout and may be forced to throw over 40 times again (54 passes last week). Oregon State made numerous mistakes and turnovers while also playing undisciplined with 12 penalties. Despite solid overall yardage and expected improvement in week 2, Oregon State will find moving the ball much more difficult against Penn State’s dominating defensive front…although must note the suspension of DE Evans and DT Koroma. Meanwhile, Penn State romped 66-10 over an inferior foe last week led by a deep group of running backs and a veteran offensive line that paved the way for over 330 rushing yards. The Oregon State defense allowed Stanford to run for 210 yards and their defense is very thin on experience and features no returning starter along the defensive line. Another 3+ touchdown victory looks probable for Jo Pa and Penn State
Bryan Leonard
Central Michigan @ Georgia
PICK: Over 56.5
The Chippewas of Central Michigan have consistently been the best team in the MAC since Dan LeFevour took his first snap. He entered his freshman year as the third string signal caller only to see both his fellow quarterbacks go down with injuries in the season opener. Since that time he has stepped in and never missed a beat as he has put himself on the NFL radar. Central scored 43 total points in three road games last year vs BCS schools Kansas, Purdue and Clemson. So with the signal caller now in his junior year we can see the Chippewas reaching at least 14 here. The problem for Central Michigan in those games was that they played a matador defense. They let Kansas score 52, Purdue reach 45 and Clemson lit them up for 70 points. With Georgia being loaded this year and with Matthew Stafford at the top of the NFL future quarterback lists we can see the Bulldogs pouring it on. Especially when you consider that in beating Georgia Southern handily last week they dropped out of the number one slot in the polls. We fully expect coach Richt and the Bulldogs to run up the score here as they try to influence the pollsters with an impressive victory.
PLAY OVER
Tony George
Mississippi vs Wake Forest
Play: Ol Miss +8
Houston Nutt takes his road show to Ole Miss, after having vast success at Arkansas and winning some big games down there, before getting ran out of town on a railcar by boosters for reasons which still baffle me. None the less, the Rebels were impressive as they rolled a decent Memphis team last week and WR McCluster is the “real deal” as he tore up the Tiger secondary and I think he will keep Wake Forests defense on edge all day. Ol Miss has some balance and good sized lineman up front as well on offense. Yes the defense is a a question mark, but on offense they will trade punches in this match up.
Not impressed yet with Wake who drubbed Big 12 bottom feeder Baylor last week, which is no surprise, and while QB Skinner is back in form, I like QB Snead for Ole Miss to trade punches in a high scoring game here. Both quarterbacks in this game are playmakers and way above average in talent. A big step up in class for #20 Wake, against an SEC team who has renewed confidence and a coach willing to take some big chances in big games, and for one reason or another, Houston Nutt seems to get the most out of his players and they overachieve, which in fact I think Ol Miss makes this a close one on the road.
This game opened at Wake -10 and has dropped all week, I have even seen some -7.5 numbers coming in Friday, so I am not alone in thinking this game is tighter than the oddsmakers originally thought.
Play Ol Miss
Tony Karpinski
San Diego State vs. Notre Dame
Play: Notre Dame -21.5
A lot of early pressure in Charlie Weis to make something positive happen, and for one of the rare times in his tenure at South Bend he has the coaching advantage over Chuck Long, who appears to be over-matched. SD ST is awful and lost last week to a D-2 school. ND finally has some offensive weapons and coming off a 3 win season didn’t sit well with Charlie (buffet boy) Weis. They need to win this year and open the season with a BLOWOUT WIN. NOTRE DAME WINS 45-14
Ross Benjamin
BYU @ Washington
Pick: BYU –9.0
If BYU is serious about their BCS bowl aspirations this game will be a major hurdle to get there. In spite of the Huskies going through tough times in recent years this is only 1 of the 2 games on their schedule versus a BCS Conference team. I look for BYU to be totally focused and come out with a superlative effort. In spite of how elusive and good a runner that Washington quarterback Jake Locker is the Cougar defense will not allow 1 guy to beat them.
Any non-conference home underdog of 14.0 or less that is off a conference away SU and ATS loss by 22 points or more as an underdog of 4.5 or better, and they have won 3 or more of their last 22 games overall is 0-16 SU and ATS. The favorite has won those 16 games by an average of 23.6 points per game. Play on BYU minus the points.
Tom Stryker
Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde
There’s nothing worse than getting embarrassed in your season opener. After putting in all the blood, sweat and tears in August, laying an egg in the first game of the season really hurts.
Maybe it was a lack of preparation. Or, like Clemson last week, one team was simply outcoached. Regardless of the situation, the fact remains that you are resting at 0-1 SU and know that a second blemish would be the absolute worst case scenario.
When it comes to handicapping college football, it is imperative that you isolate those teams that take the field “with a definite reason to play�. Motivation is huge at this level and good ‘cappers know when to use it to their advantage. This is one time when a little extra energy goes a long way. Take a look.
Since 1980, PLAY ON any game two college football favorite priced at -9’ or more provided they lost straight up as a favorite of -7 or more in their season opener.
28 Year ATS Record = 14-5 ATS for 73.6 percent.
This Week’s Play PITTSBURGH
As you can see, those game two teams that got rocked in game one as a touchdown favorite or more bounce back nicely when favored by -9’ or more in their next contest. Amazingly, the 19 teams in that set all won the game too by an average of 26.6 points per game!
There is one tightener to this Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde system that really makes it pop. With out 14-5 ATS record in hand, we can improve this situation to a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS for 100 percent provided our “play on� team is matched up against an opponent that is NOT off a straight up loss. (That means our “play against� side enters off a straight up win or this is their season opener.) Please note: Those seven wins have come by an average of 33.0 points per game!
Last Saturday, Pittsburgh jumped out to an early lead against Bowling Green but couldn’t close. The Falcons upset the Panthers 27-17. Off that loss and with the support of this rare system in play, Dave Wannstedt will have his troops ready to play. Good luck with Pittsburgh on Saturday!
Lee Kostroski
Mississippi @ Wake Forest
PICK: Mississippi +8
In this SEC vs. ACC showdown we will side with the SEC and Mississippi much the same way we took South Carolina in the opener over Nc State. This isn’t basketball season boys! Lets face it the ACC is really a weak football conference right now and other conferences are going to take advantage of that fact.
In this match up we have a Wake Forest team that should challenge for the Conference Championship but winning within the conference is a different story than winning out of it (just ask Clemson). Wake is coming off a road win over Baylor in which they put up 376 total yards of offense while holding the Bears to just 242 total yards. The Deacons big win is a little misleading though as they benefited from a 98-yard punt return and a fumble return for a touchdown. Baylor is hardly a juggernaut in the Big 12 so we have to say we’re not too impressed with the ‘W’.
Ole’Miss is now under the leadership of Houston Nutt and he already has this team heading in the right direction. The Rebels have a strong-armed QB Snead (a transfer from Texas) running the offense who should have no problems trading points with Wake and their talented QB Skinner in this game. Mississippi is coming off a solid win over Memphis 41-24 in which they rushed for 216 yards and passed for another 222. WR McCluster had 125 receiving yards against Memphis and he now gives the Rebels a playmaker on the outside to go along with a talented, but young backfield.
When playing on or against Wake Forest we typically look at the underdog first and foremost. In fact, the Deacs are just 12-24-1 ATS their last 37 as a chalk, which includes exactly zero covers in their last 10 at home when playing out of conference. When favored by a full touchdown or more Wake is just 2-12-1 ATS their last 15. On the flip side the Bulldogs have a respectable 10-5 ATS run going as an underdog.
When all is said and done, everything points towards a cover by the better team here with Mississippi, maybe even the outright win.
GREG SHAKER
NLouisiana Tech Bulldogs at Kansas Jayhawks
Play: Kansas -20 -110
I don’t know which way this line will go, but my best educated guess is that it will go upward when it is all said and done. For now it has dropped 1/2 point. That is why I am getting on it now and there is good reason to believe that we will see a large pointspread win by the Jayhawks. I am not one to lay very many large spreads but I certainly will here. Everything went right for La Tech in their home opener with the visiting Bulldogs of Miss State as they failed miserably in that contest. Miss State threw 3 Int’s, they has numerous offensive mishaps, not caused by La Tech’s D. La Tech was outgained in this game, and they managed just 14 of 40 completions with 2 Int’s. They also ran the ball for only about 3 yards per rush. Those same numbers are not going to get them anywhere as they travel to Lawrence Kansas to play a Jayhawk team that was 8th overall in the country on offense production and 12th overall on D last year. This team has 15 starters returning, including very talented QB Todd Reesing. They were an amazing 11-1 verses the spread last year, making them a bettor’s dream. With almost the entire D back, I can’t see the visiting Bulldogs having much success moving the ball and putting points on the board. I can see Kansas gathering up 40+ points. I think that we will see that. There is great optimism in Ruston Louisiana about the their team. Even former Bulldog Terry Bradshaw is pumped about their chances this year. But, they are coming off one of their largest wins ever, and they are traveling to a venue that could spell disaster. The Jayhawks punished the poor squads last year at home. Baylor caught a 58-10 whooping. Nebraska got blown clean out of the stadium 76-39. Iowa State lost 45-7. Fla Int lost 55-3. Toledo, Southeastern La, and Central Michigan lost by combined scores of 159-20. BINGO!! Let’s enjoy this rout.
The Gold Medal Club
Stanford @ Arizona State
PLAY ARIZONA STATE -14
Seems like a lot of chalk, it is, but the Clubs power ranks have this priced as a bargain.First lets take note Arizona State coach has been money coming off A DD win going 34-13 to the number. In there opener the Sun Devils looked in fine form with QB Carpenter throwing for 388 yards in a 30-13 win over N.Arizona.On the flip side, Stanford won ugly as 2.5 dogs taking down Oregon State, despite being badly out gained, and allowed an amazing 404 yards, through the air. Stanford maybe playing with double revenge losing to the Sun Devils @home last season 41-3 and the year before a 58-3 pounding, but Carpenter is going to have a field day against this secondary. We take note the home team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings, Stanford is 3-7 in this price range while Arizona State is a perfect 7-0 in this price range during the last 3 years.
Nelly
Miami, OH + over Michigan
It was not the upset that it would be in most seasons but Michigan did not look good in a home loss to Utah to start the Rodriguez era. The final margin was just two points but the Wolverines were badly out-gained and if not for a few Utah miscues the result would have been an embarrassing lopsided loss.
Miami also started the season poorly with turnovers and special team mistakes digging a hole early. Both teams should have a bit more success moving the ball this week and the experience of Miami heading into the big stage at Michigan might allow for a closer game than the spread suggests. Michigan should be avoided until more progress on offense is shown and the Wolverines have Notre Dame on deck which could mean a flat spot in this game sandwiched in between more marquee match-ups.
The Wolverines also fall into a very negative system for us, as game 2 home favorites coming off S/U home losses are just 3-11 since 2001. Take the points with Miami as the Redhawks have a lot to prove after getting blown out at home last week.
Great Lakes Sports
Minnesota at Bowling Green
Play: Bowling Green -5.5
The Bowling Green Falcons return eight starters back on offense, and nine starters back this season from a team that went 8-5 last season, and they have one five out of there last six games, and are on a roll including an impressive win 27-17 at Pittsburgh against the Panthers. The Minnesota Golden Gophers are coming off a last minute win at home against lowly Northern Illinois 31-27 which they were lucky to come out for the win as Minnesota converted a fourth and one with about twenty seconds left to pick up the first down, and then a play later scored the game winning touch down. The Falcons are 3-1ATS vs Big 10 opponents the last three years, and are 52-39ATS when playing on Saturday’s since 1992 while the Minnesota Golden Gophers has struggled against the Mac as they are a terrible 1-3ATS vs Mac Opponents the last three years, and are a dismal 2-6ATS when playing in the month of September the last three years. We here at Great Lakes Sports look for the Bowling Green Falcons to take advantage of the week Minnesota’s defense, and come out with their second win of the season as they will cash in for the home ATS win & cover tonight.
Cajun-Sports
1 STAR SELECTION
ARIZONA -23 over Toledo
Off an offensive explosion in their opener, the Wildcats look to blow up the Rockets in non-conference collision in Tucson.
This will be Toledo’s first game of the season, a tough road opener in the desert against a Pac-10 foe. Arizona rolled to a 70-0 win over Idaho last weekend, with the 70 points being the most the Wildcats have scored in 87 years. Last season, they finished under .500 for the seventh time in the last eight years, but big things are expected for Arizona this season.
Arizona won the only previous meeting with Toledo back in 1985.
Aaron Opelt is back at quarterback for Toledo after a subpar season. He completed just 58% of his passes and averaged 195 ypg, while tallying 12 TDs and seven INTs last year, and now will be without the team’s leading rusher in the backfield. The Rockets defense was simply horrible last year, giving up more than 39 ppg and were gashed for 215 ypg on the ground.
The Wildcats have certainly not been considered an offensive juggernaut in recent seasons, but that could be about to change. QB Willie Tuitama was very efficient last week, completing 17-of-21 passes for 179 yards and three touchdowns. It was a great sign for Wildcats fans, in that Tuitama is working in his second year in Sonny Dykes’ offensive scheme. Tuitama picked up the system rather quickly last year, completing 62% of his passes for 3,683 yards and 28 TDs, and even more great things are expected of him this year.
The Arizona defense was obviously dominant in last week’s rout, allowing the Vandals only 112 total yards and seven first downs. And they repeatedly set the table for the offense by coming away with four interceptions, which led to four touchdowns.
The Wildcats should be ready to pounce again here at home, as the Rockets have completely fizzled out in non-conference road games vs. opponents not off 2 SU & ATS losses, going 0-9 SU (-28.9 ppg) and 0-9 (-19.2 ppg).
Arizona has not been a solid home favorite, but this is changing with the offense taking flight. Last week was a sign of things to come, as an NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM demonstrates. It states:
In Game 2, play ON a home favorite of 19½-43 points off a home SU win scoring 57+ points.
Since at least 1980, these system has been perfect, going 8-0 ATS, crushing the spread by more than 17 ppg! We also note that teams playing their second game of the season are 4-0 ATS (+10.8 ppg) off a SU win and taking on a MAC foe playing its first game of the season.
It looks like a rough start for the Rockets as the ‘Cats go wild once again for a SU & ATS victory.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: ARIZONA 44 TOLEDO 17
Scott Ferrall
Syracuse 4.5 to Akron-they’ve got to win a game at the Dome for once, don’t they ?
Northwestern 6.5 at Duke-Wildcats by a TD over the Devils
Georgia Tech +7 from Boston College—they pull it off at Chesnut Hill
Minnesota +5.5 from Bowling Green-twice in a row ? I don’t think so
Southern Mississippi +19 from Auburn-Tigers think this one will be easy-they’re wrong
Tulane +30 from Alabama—let down time for the Tide against the Wave after ripping Clemson
San Jose State +26 from Nebraska—The Cornhuskers can’t cover giant spreads yet because they aren’t as good as last week’s easy one
OHIO +35 from Ohio St-The Buckeyes won’t blow them out-they’ll just win easily and look for the backdoor cover
WISCONSIN 20.5 to Marshall-Badgers get things going here in Mad-Town even though they didn’t cover last week
Central Michigan +23.5 from Georgia-UPSET SPECIAL WITH THE POINTS-Central Mich was tough as shit last yr
Oreg St +16.5 from Penn St-I don’t think that PSU is that good and the Beavs should cover at least-even in Happy Valley—they won’t leave happy, but hopefully they make you money
Air Force +3 from Wyoming-go light on this game-I don’t trust either one of them
TAKE BYU 10 OVER WASHINGTON – COUGS ARE FOR REAL AND WASHINGTON SUCKS
San Diego St +22 from Notre Dame—I’m not sure the Irish can even score 22 points
Texas A&M 3 to New Mexico-Aggies get this one done on the road
Oklahoma St 15 to Houston-Cowboys in Stillwater put on a show for the folks
Iowa St 7.5 to Kent-Cyclones in Ames by 8 or 9
Wake Forest 8 to Ole’Miss-the Deacons are at home and they are good
Washington St +13.5 from Cal—Bears take this one for granted and get burned
Northern Illinois +6 from Western Michigan
South Florida 14 to Central Florida-SF is better, but both are coming up big-time these days
UCONN 7 to Temple-Huskies have a program now and can win this game easily in Philly
Kansas 21 to Louisiana Tech-Jayhawks light it up in Lawrence
Rice +3.5 from Memphis
Toledo +22.5 from Arizona—The Cats just aren’t good enough to cover that much lumber
UTEP +26.5 from Texas-Mike Price has his chance to get some press-cover at least you bitches !
Iowa 27 to Florida International-The Hawkeyes have to blast their ass in Iowa City
Arkansas 12.5 to La-Monroe-the Razorbacks should win by 2 TD’s
TULSA -21.5 to North Texas
Middle Tennessee +14 from Maryland—Terps screw this one up on the road
MLB
Minnesota 135 over Detroit-Baker over Verlander, who gets lit every time out
Gavin Floyd +105 and the ChiSox over the Angels and Lackey in the Windy
Marcum +125 and the Jays knock out the Rays (Shields)
Matt Cain -120 over Maholm and the Pirates in the Bay
Houston EVEN ODDS with Oswalt over Francis in the Mile High City
Wellemeyer and Cards -145 over the Marlins at Busch 2
Cubs -150 over the Reds-Marquis over Cueto
John Ryan
Houston U vs. Oklahoma State
Play:Oklahoma State -15.5
3* graded play on Oklahoma State – Ai Simulator shows a 70% probability that Ok State will win this game by 16 or more points. AiS also shows that Oklahoma State will have a balanced offensive attack, but due to a strong running game, the pass routes will be available to exploit as well. Oklahoma has an 85% probability of gaining 9.5 yards per pass in this game. This puts Houston into a 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt since 1992. AiS reveals a 82% probability that Oklahoma State will ahve a MINIMUM of 450 total yards in offense. Notet hat Oklahoma State is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games when they gain 450 to 500 total yards since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 67-31 for 68% since 1992. Play on home favorites after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game facing an opponent after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game. Houston is off a solid game last week winning 55-3 against Southern and recorded just 1 turnover. let’s face it Southern is not much of a measuring stick to how good Houston is this s eason. I do know that Housto is just 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992. Take Oklahoma State.
Tom Freese
Miami Fla at Florida
Florida is 10-2 ATS their last 12 Non-Conference games and they are 6-0 ATS their last 6 Non-Conference home games. The Gators are 32-17 ATS after allowing 75 or less yards rushing in their last game and they are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. winning teams. Miami of Florida is 0-6 ATS on the road after one or more straight up wins and they are 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 14 or less points in their last game. The Hurricanes are 1-10 ATS their last 11 games after scoring 41 or more points in their last game. PLAY ON FLORIDA
Marc Lawrence
Play On: Temple
The Owls host the Huskies in a non-conference clash at Lincoln Financial Field Saturday afternoon with revenge on their minds. UConn has beat Temple in each of last two meetings in this series but its the Owls that owns the checkbook as they are 4-0 ATS in head-to-head meetings. Both teams opened with big wins last week when Connecticut hammered Hofstra, 35-2, at home whilr Temple annihilated Army, 35-7, at West Point. With the Owls owning 21 starters from last year’s team and UConn looking ahead to a revenger with Virginia next week, look for Temple to make it back-to-back wins here this afternoon.
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Alex Smart
UNLV @ Utah
Prediction: Utah
HC Kyle Whittinghams Utah Utes (No.23)ming off the biggest win in the schools history, against the Michigan Wolverines last week in the big house, by a score of 25-23, covering as 3.5 point underdogs . A let down you would think would be inevitable , despite of this being a MWC conference opener. Guess again, as the Utes have a huge revenge scenario on board this week against a UNLV Runnin Rebels team, that upset them in embarrassing fashion last season, by a score of 27-0 . To add insult to injury, the Rebels top RB Frank “ The Tank “ Summers, a Jerome Bettis look alike , told the media , after that above mentioned loss , that the Utes, were diving for his ankles, as they looked to avoid making body tackles against the bruising runner . Needless to say the Utah D , that allowed the Wolverines just 4 rushing yards in the first half last week, did not take kindly to his words, and will use them as motivation in in front of what is expected to be a sell out crowd of 30,000 plus.
The Rebels know a run away train is headed their way this week, and will have a game plan set up that will try to get them out of here here without being humiliated , however, that will be easier said than done ,against a far superior foe .
Final notes & Key Trends: Utah is 11-1 L/12 in this series , with last years loss the first since 1979. Utah has lost 15 straight Mountain West road games, and 20 of their 21 overall away from Sin city . Runnin’ Rebels are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU win.
Projected score: Utah 41 UNLV 10